Losing my hair and losing my mind in Western New York

Wednesday, November 08, 2006

Post Election Follow-up


I guess it's safe to say that I won't have much of a career as a prophet or seer, now isn't it? What kills me about the entire debacle is that it was completely avoidable. The Democrats didn't win, The Republicans lost. There is a big difference there.

You see, you can only win when you run on ideas. The Democrats don't have any ideas, other than to Impeach Bush and transform America into a Socialist State. But they certainly don't have any ideas that the vast majority of Americans are willing to get behind. Look at the Candidates who won big. Professed conservatives, every one of them. Look at the Republicans who lost. RINOs.

That gets right to the crux of the problem. The GOP was swept into power by conservatism. But over the last 12 years they have been slowly moving away from their conservative base towards a more liberal stance. They have become the Republican party of the late 1800's and early 1900's; Fat, Lazy and Arrogant. And it cost them. The question is, will they learn from it? Will they put forward a ticket of Strong conservatives in the '08 elections? Will they marginalize and reject the so-called "centrist" Republicans that cost them the '06 elections? Time will tell.

Of course, Speaker Elect Pelosi won't have any of that nasty old conservatism in the Democrat party as long as she's in charge. She donated mightily to the winning Dem's war chests, and it's time to pay the piper. I'm sure that she will sit all the fresh new Dem faces down and tell them how it is. "Play along and you might get some money to run your re-election campaign. Don't play along and you're gone in two years."

So we can expect nothing but unabashed far left wacko liberalism to come out of the house for the next 2 years, along with hearing after hearing on all the favorite pet complaints the Dems have had over the past 12 years. Heck, we might even get a Clintonian Revenge Impeachment hearing! Meanwhile they will be busy de-funding our Military and cutting and running from Iraq.

That's the part that bugs me the most. I can deal with most of their wackiness, but the Iraqi people want us there and need us there to ensure stability as they rebuild their country. If we leave now it is likely that chaos would be the result. If we set a public timetable, the terrorists will simply bide their time, and hold back until we leave. Then once we are gone they will attack with renewed ferocity on an unprepared Iraq. Either way it would go badly for the Iraqi people. They might survive as a country, but it would be bloody and ugly.

This is a critical time for the Middle East. So much is in the balance right now, and America cannot afford to pull back at this juncture. We need to stick with it and stay involved. The Dems will do everything they can to try and thwart that, and that's why so many Terrorist leaders wanted them to win. The Terrorists know that they can cow the Dems, but the GOP will fight them. So they want Dems in power. At least until they can setup their Caliphate in America. Then anyone that doesn't convert to Islam or become a dhimmi will be gleefully beheaded.

Let us hope that it doesn't come to that. I think the best we can hope for over the next two years is a completely gridlocked Congress where nothing gets done. Given the propensity for excess that the Republican party has been showing lately, and the well known excesses of the Democrats, perhaps that is not such a bad thing after all. If the remaining members of the GOP can gridlock the Dems into frustration and a showing of their true far-left colors, then I think we stand a good chance in '08. Otherwise I fear mightily for the security of our country.

God Bless America.

Monday, November 06, 2006

Pre-election Predictions

Since I have yet again managed to go several weeks without posting, I thought it would be appropriate to show up and comment on the big news item of the week. Thusly I will now make my predictions for the Mid-term elections.

Now, I know that some are a tad pessimistic about the GOP's chances on Tuesday, but I prefer to take a more optimistic tone. I realize that there is alot of history going against the GOP this time around. The party in power almost always loses seats in a mid-term, and with as well as the Dems have been polling up until recently, one might think that the GOP has no chance. However, as some have pointed out, the polls have traditionally always been skewed towards Democrats, and phone polls in particular suffer from an undersampling of Republican and Conservative opinion.

With those facts in mind, here is my mid-term general election prediction:

House: Dems take a small handful seats, 5 at the most, and the GOP holds onto it's lead.

Senate: Dems take no seats, maybe 1, and the GOP holds it's lead.

Now, some would say that I have no reason to be that optimistic. I say that I have every reason to feel that way. Look at the polls: Knowing that they are ALWAYS skewed towards Democrats to the tune of 5 to 10 points, look at how many races show the Dem candidate more than 10 points in the lead. In the House it's 5 at the most and maybe 1, if that, in the Senate.

I know that handicapping an election may seem a strange way to make a prediction, but with the egregiously poor record the pollsters have, I think it's safe to award the GOP a free 5 to 10 points on any given poll. Once you do that, the race begins to take on an entirely different flavor. Indeed it begins to look much like the '94 elections.

Now, I'm not expecting a surreal event with the Dems losing seats and gaining nothing. While I would certainly cheer that should it happen, I think it highly unlikely. History has a way of repeating itself, and history is against us this time around.

However, I am one who believes in Manifest Destiny, that we make our own future, and history is not bound to repeat, just likely to. To that end I think that the GOP base is being jolted out of it's slumber by the nightmare of a potential Dem sweep come Tuesday. I believe that Republicans and Conservatives will flock to the polls, galvanized by the desire to protect all that we have gained since the GOP took control. With that energy harnessed into votes, the GOP will hold it's lead.

Now if we could just get some good strong conservatives to replace some of the RINOs, we'd really be doing great.